Hidalgo County votes cast, Nov 2026
125,219 ballots in Hidalgo County through the first nine days of early voting (Oct 27), counting early votes and mail ballots returned. That is 1.7x the 2022 midterm at the same point and 103% of 2024. Voters from the March Democratic primary cast 37.2% of early votes, against 19.3% in 2024.
Countywide, 26.9% of 466,208 registered voters (17.3% in 2022, 27.4% in 2024 at this point)
1.8x 2022
Votes cast by day
Early votes in person and mail ballots returned, by date. 2022 and 2024 are lined up by days before Election Day, so each point compares the same stage of early voting (all three years started early voting on a Monday). 2022 is from the county's Nov 2022 rosters and 2024 from the Texas Secretary of State's daily voter lists. The county's 2026 lists carry no dates, so 2026 dates come from the state's daily lists; most 2026 mail ballots aren't on them and are counted on the first day of early voting. Hover or tap for each year's numbers.
In plain terms
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Ballots cast at the same point: early vote + mail
Early votes in person plus mail ballots returned, through the first nine days of early voting in each year (the same number of days before Election Day).
Ballots by ZIP code
Hover or tap a ZIP for its numbers; tap again to filter the dashboard to it.
ZIP shapes are Census ZIP Code Tabulation Areas, trimmed to the county line, with major highways for reference, so ZIPs that cross the county line show only their Hidalgo part. Hidalgo's 2026 lists have no addresses, so each voter is placed by the address on their most recent past county roster; voters with none are placed in the ZIP that holds most of their precinct's voters. ZIPs with few ballots can show extreme shading.
Party mix, same point in each election
Ballots split by which party's primary the voter took that March. "No primary" means they skipped it, not that they're independent. Each year uses that year's March primary rosters. Head counts follow each primary's size: in March 2026, 67,167 Hidalgo voters took the Democratic primary and 19,586 the Republican one. In November 2024, Trump won 51.4% of the county's two-party vote for President, so primary party is not a stand-in for the November vote.
What it would take: the primary-voter gap
If this year’s March primary voters vote their primary’s party in November, the Republican side has to make up the difference among Independents, the voters who took no primary. Countywide, early and mail ballots through Oct 27.
Even if every one of the 6,372 Republican-primary voters who haven’t voted yet turns out, and no more Democratic-primary voters do, Republicans would still be 27,336 short.
“Party” is the 2026 March primary a voter took; Texas has no party registration. This assumes every voter picks a major-party candidate and counts only early and mail ballots; Election Day voters will add to every group. It is a what-it-would-take calculation, not a forecast.
Who is voting
Each 2026 ballot matched by state voter ID to Hidalgo County's Nov 2024 and Nov 2022 rosters (early voting, mail and Election Day). Bars compare early voters and mail voters.
How they voted in Nov 2024
Method in the last presidential
How they voted in Nov 2022
Method in the last midterm
ZIP codes
Every ZIP with at least 25 ballots in 2026, most ballots first. Tap a row to filter the dashboard to it. Dem/Rep shares are the percent of ballots from Mar 2026 primary voters of each party.
| ZIP | City | Total | Dem % | Rep % |
|---|
Top precincts in Hidalgo County
Up to 25 county voting precincts by ballots cast. With a ZIP selected, each precinct counts only its voters whose address is in that ZIP. Dem % and Rep % are the shares of ballots from March 2026 Democratic and Republican primary voters.
| Precinct | Total | Dem % | Rep % |
|---|
Turnout against registration
Countywide early and mail ballots at the same point in each election, as a share of that year’s registered voters (Texas Secretary of State county tables). Registration grew 12% from 2022 to 2026, so raw ballot counts overstate the change in turnout by about that much. These three cards are countywide; the ZIP filter does not change them.
Who has shown up, by primary
Countywide, of the voters who took each party’s March primary, the share who had cast an early or mail ballot by this point. This is the cleaner enthusiasm measure: it does not depend on how big each primary was. In 2026 the Democratic primary was 3.4x the size of the Republican one, so Democratic head counts lead even where the two turn out at similar rates.
What past mixes produced
Countywide early and mail ballots at the same point in each election, by that year’s March primary, next to the county’s final result in the top race on the ballot (official canvass). Primary voters are a minority of every electorate and most “no primary” voters still lean one way, so the mix is a reference point against past results, not a forecast of this one. The last column is the result among early and mail voters alone, the slice the mix describes.
| Election | Ballots at this point | Dem primary | Rep primary | No primary | Final result, two-party | Early + mail voters’ result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 · Governor | 72,014 | 33.2% | 13.2% | 53.6% | O’Rourke 59.3, Abbott 40.7 | O’Rourke 59.9, Abbott 40.1 |
| 2024 · President | 122,086 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 68.7% | Trump 51.4, Harris 48.6 | Harris 50.2, Trump 49.8 |
| 2026 · so far | 125,219 | 37.5% | 10.6% | 52.0% | Not yet counted | — |
How this was built
Sources: Hidalgo County's cumulative in-person early-voting roster through Oct 27, 2026 (the first nine days of early voting) and its cumulative list of mail ballots received, for the Nov 3 general, from the Elections Department's Unofficial Early Voting Totals & Rosters page. Every record carries a state voter ID and voting precinct, but no address and no date. A voter on both lists counts once, as an early voter. The early-voter lists match the county's posted daily counts within about 20 votes.
Dates come from the Texas Secretary of State's daily early-voting voter lists for Hidalgo County, matched by voter ID; the county's lists decide who has voted, and the state's lists only say when. Early voters missing from the state's lists are counted on the latest day. Most mail ballots are not on the state's lists; those are counted on the first day of early voting, by the end of which the county's own daily report shows 3,130 mail ballots received. Countywide totals don't depend on this step.
Each 2026 voter is placed in the ZIP code of their address on the county's most recent past roster that has one: the Nov 2024 general, the March 2024 primaries, then the Nov 2022 general. Voters on none of those rosters are placed in the ZIP that holds most of their precinct's placed voters. Voters in 2024 and 2022 are placed by their address on that year's roster.
Same-point comparisons line up each year by days before Election Day: early votes through the first nine days of early voting (Oct 27, 2026; Oct 29, 2024; Nov 1, 2022), plus mail ballots returned by that date. 2024 comes from the Secretary of State's daily voter lists for Hidalgo, whose totals equal the state's published county figures for every day, and 159,312 of whose 159,316 early voters are on the county's Nov 2024 roster. 2022 comes from the county's Nov 2022 early-voting roster, which records each check-in time, and its daily mail lists. "Skipped 2024" means no record on any Nov 2024 roster (early, mail or Election Day). The urban core is ten ZIPs: 78501, 78503 and 78504 (McAllen), 78539, 78541 and 78542 (Edinburg), 78572, 78573 and 78574 (Mission) and 78577 (Pharr); the rest of the county includes Weslaco, Mercedes, Donna, Alamo, San Juan, Elsa, Edcouch, La Joya, Peñitas, Sullivan City, Hidalgo, Progreso and rural Edinburg (78540).
Party is primary participation, not registration: each year's March primary rosters from the county (early voting, Election Day and mail). Texas has no party registration. In the March 2026 primaries, 67,167 Hidalgo voters took the Democratic ballot and 19,586 the Republican one; in November 2024, Trump won 51.4% of the county's two-party vote for President. Hidalgo's rosters carry no birth years, so there is no age breakdown. Party colors follow each party's logo: Democratic blue and Republican red.